Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Linda Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x221818f4b206b813d33473518703588d340ea08702ee7d0b6ad9d671b2d96a89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fruhvirtovaof Friedsam, Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Friedsam | 18c | 6,073$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.86 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Friedsam | 1c | 3,759$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Friedsam | 44c | 914$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.37 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Fruhvirtova | 52c | 883.47$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.03 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Fruhvirtova | 33c | 827.01$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.69 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Fruhvirtova | 58c | 624.28$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.36 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Friedsam | 25c | 589.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fruhvirtova | 48c | 584.92$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed Friedsam | 75c | 480$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Friedsam | 37c | 248.69$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Fruhvirtova | 78c | 240.81$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Friedsam | 29c | 238.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Fruhvirtova | 45c | 222.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Fruhvirtova | 60c | 167.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Friedsam | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Friedsam | 11c | 123.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Friedsam | 23c | 92.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Fruhvirtova | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 219 | 49.3%108 W · 111 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Fruhvirtova | 77c | 72.97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Friedsam | 47c | 61.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Friedsam | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Fruhvirtova | 69c | 39.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Fruhvirtova | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Fruhvirtova | 58c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…3d2bbacked Friedsam | 80c | 24.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 78cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Fruhvirtova | 56c | 22.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Friedsam | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3018…14b3backed Fruhvirtova | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…efbbbacked Fruhvirtova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 79cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.