Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lupus Esports vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x224c7b5f308a55675855a8e8312395c14d03961928eb935dcb3cc4d83f18a963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lupus Esportsof Lupus Esports, The Secret Club Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked The Secret Club Esport | 52c | 7,369$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +155%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Lupus Esports | 48c | 3,814$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.14 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Lupus Esports | 60c | 3,139$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.12 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed The Secret Club Esport | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +114.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed The Secret Club Esport | 61c | 665.1$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.52 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…2149backed Lupus Esports | 37c | 480.79$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Lupus Esports | 53c | 366.04$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed The Secret Club Esport | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Lupus Esports | 48c | 285.42$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.42 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed The Secret Club Esport | 13c | 278.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed The Secret Club Esport | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Lupus Esports | 47c | 152.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…e164backed The Secret Club Esport | 63c | 27.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lupus Esports | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs The Secret Club Esport (BO3) - EBL Regular SeasonLupus Esports won
- LoL: Lupus Esports vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 1 WinnerThe Secret Club Esport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.