Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Juan Carlos Prado vs Miguel Damas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22b7414ac68ee803d5e46eca2c7b0e2c0147e40afcc8d811a4e5cc608593ca0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damasof Prado, Damas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Prado | 46c | 1,744$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Damas | 53c | 691.59$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Prado | 50c | 589.7$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Prado | 36c | 553.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Damas | 63c | 453.46$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Prado | 42c | 434$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.6 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Damas | 60c | 402.86$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Damas | 54c | 369.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Prado | 41c | 343$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Damas | 49c | 327.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Damas | 43c | 216.89$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Prado | 62c | 165.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…3004backed Damas | 38c | 157.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Prado | 46c | 153.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Prado | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Prado | 50c | 139.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.21 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Damas | 68c | 139.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Prado | 30c | 137.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Damas | 80c | 135$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Prado | 56c | 118.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Prado | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.87 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Prado | 33c | 77.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Prado | 40c | 62.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Prado | 17c | 59.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…c91dbacked Prado | 65c | 55.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Damas | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Damas | 35c | 39.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Damas | 68c | 29.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Prado | 54c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…dd88backed Prado | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Damas | 76c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Damas | 77c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.