TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Brazzaville: Florent Bax vs Younes Laaroussi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Florent Baxof Florent Bax, Younes Laaroussi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Younes Laaroussi4c12,208$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.71,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Younes Laaroussi4c6,613$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.536,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Younes Laaroussi9c5,367$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.859,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Younes Laaroussi2c2,263$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.824,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Younes Laaroussi2c2,251$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.276,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Younes Laaroussi10c1,453$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.1311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce2…9787backed Younes Laaroussi3c1,383$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.53128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-59.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Younes Laaroussi7c780.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5457447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Younes Laaroussi10c535.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5622337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…9fddbacked Younes Laaroussi7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b35…51b3backed Younes Laaroussi20c161.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7935360.9%215 W · 138 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a48…dc30backed Younes Laaroussi19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed Younes Laaroussi8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93423.5%8 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-53.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Younes Laaroussi18c108.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Younes Laaroussi17c58.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.