CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c1222bc6afdbc17ea6baf26568c3470e0de7acba85a77d173e26fad4c54deb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Turma do Pagodeof largadosypelados, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Turma do Pagode | 54c | 1,566$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.44 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed largadosypelados | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.06 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Turma do Pagode | 60c | 634.88$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked largadosypelados | 78c | 614.83$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.16 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked largadosypelados | 40c | 439.21$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed largadosypelados | 43c | 334.71$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.29 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 316.41$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed largadosypelados | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Turma do Pagode | 16c | 139.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked largadosypelados | 39c | 139.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked largadosypelados | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Turma do Pagode | 20c | 124$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Turma do Pagode | 20c | 124$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed largadosypelados | 38c | 108.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Turma do Pagode | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed Turma do Pagode | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Turma do Pagode | 62c | 84.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed largadosypelados | 39c | 74.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked largadosypelados | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed largadosypelados | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed largadosypelados | 41c | 33.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil PlayoffsTurma do Pagode won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 WinnerTurma do Pagode won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.