Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22d86670407820f2760cb15e5e421fa704cd7e047980e4e441556e900bb425ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Dritaof FC Drita, Tre Fiori FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tre Fiori FC | 55c | 273.82$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.53 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Drita | 18c | 187.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.78 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tre Fiori FC | 67c | 185.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed FC Drita | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +11.0wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed FC Drita | 35c | 103.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FC Drita | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Tre Fiori FC | 53c | 95.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed FC Drita | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed FC Drita | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Tre Fiori FC | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Drita | 48c | 43.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…92c3backed Tre Fiori FC | 70c | 29.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed FC Drita | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked FC Drita | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Drita (-1.5)this page
- Tre Fiori FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 2.5Over won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 3.5Over won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 4.5Over won
- Tre Fiori FC vs. FC Drita: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.