NHL · resolved market
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Laval Rocket
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f43002449444c254e3b3e6a3b444dddcda92d3b9ea0e186491c4ddd996ac1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belleville Senatorsof Belleville Senators, Laval Rocket
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 563.02$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.44 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 494.22$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Laval Rocket | 29c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Laval Rocket | 61c | 132.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked Belleville Senators | 44c | 102.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 99.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Belleville Senators | 38c | 88.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Laval Rocket | 63c | 82.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Belleville Senators | 36c | 66.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Laval Rocket | 72c | 49.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Laval Rocket | 50c | 44.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Belleville Senators | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 37.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Belleville Senators | 39c | 34.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Laval Rocket | 61c | 32.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Belleville Senators | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Belleville Senators | 41c | 28.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Belleville Senators | 54c | 26.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Laval Rocket | 54c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Laval Rocket | 63c | 19.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Belleville Senators | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.