Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23297b2c47f574d101067daac0db684c596eaaf2cb7d8c3817b931fe8a9333e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Utrechtof Real Betis Balompié, FC Utrecht
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed FC Utrecht | 51c | 2,369$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.98 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Utrecht | 54c | 1,345$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.28 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Real Betis Balompié | 39c | 1,109$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 611.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…621cbacked Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed FC Utrecht | 69c | 363.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 314.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 48c | 251.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 213.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.14 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b758backed Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 209.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Utrecht | 51c | 182.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Utrecht | 49c | 172.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed FC Utrecht | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FC Utrecht | 51c | 141.04$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…80f7backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 74.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 69.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…bfb4backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 65.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed1e…48c4backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Real Betis Balompié | 29c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Real Betis Balompié | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Real Betis Balompié | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…2a8ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Real Betis Balompié | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed Real Betis Balompié | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Real Betis Balompié | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Real Betis Balompié | 48c | 37.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Real Betis Balompié | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed FC Utrecht | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Real Betis Balompié | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.