Golf · resolved market
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x237e93e9a87a92646e58403a700e283446b4e4665d1d090f4438da51ce0c8e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 48c | 759.62$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Yes | 26c | 730$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 47c | 729.95$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 46c | 462.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…3963backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Yes | 52c | 278.85$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…1a23backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 152.5$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68f…6fdfbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 45c | 92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 3?this page
- Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup Day 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.