Tennis · resolved market
ITF Montemor-O-Novo: Francisca Jorge vs Matilde Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238a8e95bf0b8941b4e440829fe9b1bd7ae63cfeeb6af3b77d8880ad870e58f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisca Jorgeof Francisca Jorge, Matilde Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Francisca Jorge | 71c | 2,486$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.63 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Matilde Jorge | 34c | 1,360$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Matilde Jorge | 26c | 1,121$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matilde Jorge | 39c | 612$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Matilde Jorge | 20c | 541.18$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Matilde Jorge | 13c | 520.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…ca10backed Matilde Jorge | 42c | 456.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francisca Jorge | 72c | 418.67$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Matilde Jorge | 8c | 272.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Matilde Jorge | 38c | 219$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Matilde Jorge | 36c | 183.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Francisca Jorge | 64c | 183.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Matilde Jorge | 17c | 156.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Matilde Jorge | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Matilde Jorge | 19c | 75.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Francisca Jorge | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francisca Jorge | 70c | 51.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Matilde Jorge | 36c | 46.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Francisca Jorge | 66c | 45.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Matilde Jorge | 39c | 38.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Francisca Jorge | 62c | 37.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Francisca Jorge | 58c | 36.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Francisca Jorge | 68c | 27.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Francisca Jorge | 57c | 24.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Francisca Jorge | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Francisca Jorge | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.83 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.