La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla vs. Osasuna end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ff15b13d5b17d82a132d6a64281f6712124b2dd2b48db90433c29ce39d8c0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 13,476$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.99 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 70c | 1,193$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 71c | 407.32$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 72c | 387.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf35b…06c8backed Yes | 31c | 387.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 19c | 348.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 12c | 342.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 29c | 341.32$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 23c | 233.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee1…25f8backed Yes | 34c | 154.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 19c | 153.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 31c | 153$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 145.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 28c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 70c | 122.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…0de7backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 94.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…797abacked Yes | 23c | 88.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 28c | 83.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…0659backed No | 72c | 27.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55f7…23a3backed No | 60c | 18.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla vs. Osasuna end in a draw?this page
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.