La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa73b664e66d53d6cafffe327a31e88e3d4700769b41f42d745d8885f36cff743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,762$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.55 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,266$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,146$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 75c | 826.34$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 74c | 600$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…4f44backed Yes | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 76c | 332.34$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 25c | 260.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 24c | 199.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 25c | 152.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 26c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…0060backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…f1ffbacked No | 75c | 54.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…8346backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Sevilla vs. Osasuna end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.