Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241cdda867a535620d105221620636c80845afc113572b83a1be97c3d5926b41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 484.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 488 | 67.8%331 W · 157 L | +68.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 17c | 350$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 274.62$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 33c | 214.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 76c | 197.63$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Yes | 28c | 178.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 154.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 31c | 129.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 20c | 129.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 19c | 119.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1,116 | 49.5%552 W · 564 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 119.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 341 | 50.7%173 W · 168 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 88.86$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 80c | 83.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 843 | 42.2%356 W · 487 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 25.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2,520 | 39.8%1,002 W · 1,518 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-12?Yes won
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2026-05-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.