Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248e2301d454988e79426fa0fa23655378d930fdd8940811119c574ce24a7c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Team Envy, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Sentinels | 70c | 321.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Sentinels | 77c | 301.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Team Envy | 19c | 290$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Envy | 28c | 289.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Team Envy | 17c | 225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Team Envy | 46c | 179.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Envy | 15c | 157.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Sentinels | 73c | 151.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sentinels | 71c | 144.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Sentinels | 77c | 139.8$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Envy | 24c | 121.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Envy | 39c | 102.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Envy | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Envy | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Sentinels | 54c | 93.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…d56abacked Sentinels | 53c | 83.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Sentinels | 62c | 64.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…5668backed Sentinels | 68c | 63.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Envy | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sentinels | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Sentinels | 77c | 21.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1Sentinels won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerSentinels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.