NHL · resolved market
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2490f2425d30f222fbefdd556abe9c7df762ee2ac3c3992d59789718ef91d38a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salavat Yulaev Ufaof Salavat Yulaev Ufa, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8287…9640backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…dd23backed Torpedo | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0f8dbacked Torpedo | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1367…36ebbacked Torpedo | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 1,387$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.03 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Torpedo | 51c | 887.92$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.51 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…f0c1backed Torpedo | 55c | 227$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d0…82a2backed Torpedo | 53c | 207$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…4742backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6d…1557backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…8958backed Torpedo | 53c | 204$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Torpedo | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Torpedo | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Torpedo | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 65c | 56.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Torpedo | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Torpedo | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 46c | 42.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Torpedo | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.