NHL · resolved market
AHL: Belleville Senators vs. Syracuse Crunch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e630539691ea240d15be12b64af5bdac8727bde7f28f0c11c40309f1065baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Syracuse Crunchof Belleville Senators, Syracuse Crunch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Belleville Senators | 28c | 1,240$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.09 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Syracuse Crunch | 73c | 496.79$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.13 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Belleville Senators | 27c | 492.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 476.73$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 363.52$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 157.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Belleville Senators | 29c | 146.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Syracuse Crunch | 71c | 113.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Syracuse Crunch | 80c | 99.57$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 78.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 78.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Belleville Senators | 20c | 61.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…9a9ebacked Belleville Senators | 35c | 57.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…c833backed Belleville Senators | 35c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Belleville Senators | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Syracuse Crunch | 64c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…15efbacked Syracuse Crunch | 72c | 30.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Syracuse Crunch | 61c | 24.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.