CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x251598e77f09241323010cef89cc2467c571d4434fa674d5037406ab812b83cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Inner Circle Esports | 75c | 1,480$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.62 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FOKUS | 13c | 1,171$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Inner Circle Esports | 68c | 800.07$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.26 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…e932backed FOKUS | 32c | 618.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked FOKUS | 39c | 503.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 58c | 489.66$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed FOKUS | 24c | 484.04$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS | 4c | 312.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Inner Circle Esports | 60c | 239.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed FOKUS | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 79c | 143.31$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Inner Circle Esports | 66c | 126.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 21c | 114.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Inner Circle Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Inner Circle Esports | 71c | 88.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports | 74c | 73.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Inner Circle Esports | 77c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.