Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2545cc5d57533abad994c216a5b277133bcabf63779df0badc0273376844bba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentucky Wildcatsof Kentucky Wildcats, South Carolina Gamecocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 3,046$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 2,915$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.57 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 1,120$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.24 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…7fe1backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 519.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 495.63$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 455.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kentucky Wildcats | 48c | 296.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 144$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kentucky Wildcats | 50c | 139.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.68 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 97.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 49c | 91.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kentucky Wildcats | 49c | 76.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 48c | 55.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Kentucky Wildcats | 51c | 48.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 50c | 32.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 51c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-7.5)this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina GamecocksKentucky Wildcats won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 149.5Under won
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 150.5Under won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-6.5)Kentucky Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.