Cricket · resolved market
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Vanuatu vs Italy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x256886c50105ccfded9d4de0ac35248ad01cb9a1f5e403c104f7953b1aeacf4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Italyof Vanuatu, Italy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Italy | 59c | 975.29$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.85 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Vanuatu | 33c | 725.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.78 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Vanuatu | 26c | 490.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Vanuatu | 42c | 476.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.44 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Vanuatu | 33c | 407.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Vanuatu | 40c | 370.25$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Italy | 58c | 330.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…4e1abacked Italy | 58c | 290.75$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Italy | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Italy | 70c | 233.72$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Italy | 70c | 231.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Vanuatu | 45c | 197$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Italy | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Italy | 72c | 159.19$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…0265backed Italy | 75c | 147.78$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Italy | 68c | 110.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa141…6744backed Italy | 75c | 89.82$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Vanuatu | 41c | 71.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…bd88backed Italy | 71c | 63.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Vanuatu | 29c | 59.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2d…ca93backed Vanuatu | 27c | 52.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Italy | 65c | 48.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Italy | 59c | 48.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Italy | 71c | 36.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Vanuatu | 28c | 36.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Italy | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Italy | 70c | 25.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Vanuatu | 59c | 24.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Italy | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Italy | 71c | 16.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Italy | 71c | 14.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.