NHL · resolved market
AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Hartford Wolf Pack
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258a9a7514280d4f9244864a6dd49d821968f77fe7feda7c5545792e273064f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Monstersof Cleveland Monsters, Hartford Wolf Pack
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,236 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 48c | 3,502$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.47 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 993.79$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.82 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 494.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 382.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 368.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 179.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cleveland Monsters | 54c | 123.63$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Cleveland Monsters | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 60.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…17f9backed Hartford Wolf Pack | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab1…44c6backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 47c | 31.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…728ebacked Cleveland Monsters | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…12eabacked Hartford Wolf Pack | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Cleveland Monsters | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.