South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25a38ca0736a34d3bc845c05a106a7cf3cdcb7c386999dc2b331a0cb94d4f6be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,050 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 53c | 14,314$7,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,727.58 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 59c | 2,164$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.54 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 49c | 2,080$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 1,557$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.63 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 480.38$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 53c | 438.51$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 48c | 206.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 197.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 52c | 191.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 49c | 155.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 148.52$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 54c | 125$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 53c | 120$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 36c | 111.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 48c | 103.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd440…3e3cbacked Yes | 49c | 91.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 57c | 89.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 56c | 89.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 44c | 77.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 51c | 76.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 41c | 56.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 56.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked Yes | 24c | 53.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 54c | 50.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 53c | 46.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 47c | 35.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Yes | 48c | 32.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe5…4010backed No | 54c | 31.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…85fdbacked No | 53c | 30.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3976…fe6abacked Yes | 47c | 29.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…7123backed Yes | 49c | 22.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…b233backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 54c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 62c | 17.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2025-11-26?this page
- Will CA Lanús vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Tigre win on 2025-11-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.