NHL · resolved market
AHL: Laval Rocket vs. Calgary Wranglers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c1c6a0d70af3ef8385aedfeb1073ca2a8eac25a4936c46bb31040cb2003d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Calgary Wranglersof Laval Rocket, Calgary Wranglers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46ae…dea0backed Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 289$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6de…405dbacked Laval Rocket | 60c | 281$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…591bbacked Laval Rocket | 60c | 274$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…d415backed Laval Rocket | 60c | 272$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc237…9de9backed Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 269$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…9ea0backed Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 266$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…75b3backed Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 263$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b2…5f12backed Laval Rocket | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Laval Rocket | 32c | 230.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 181 | 32%58 W · 123 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Calgary Wranglers | 38c | 184.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Calgary Wranglers | 31c | 124.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Calgary Wranglers | 77c | 119.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Laval Rocket | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Laval Rocket | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Laval Rocket | 23c | 66.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…f609backed Calgary Wranglers | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…e4aabacked Laval Rocket | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Laval Rocket | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…ed5bbacked Laval Rocket | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.