NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c995d380b9169a8a4e5cea82c0f571066b9f66e4ba6534cdcd39db7472739d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Blue Jackets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Bruins | 31c | 1,879$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.24 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets | 69c | 1,290$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.1 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 586.82$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.91 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Bruins | 31c | 379.35$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blue Jackets | 69c | 365.9$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.47 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Bruins | 30c | 196$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 170$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blue Jackets | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 71c | 129.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bruins | 31c | 96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Blue Jackets | 70c | 71.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blue Jackets | 50c | 65.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blue Jackets | 51c | 50.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Bruins | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blue Jackets | 28c | 43.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Bruins | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bruins | 50c | 34.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Blue Jackets | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Blue Jackets | 72c | 17.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Blue Jackets vs. BruinsBruins won
- Blue Jackets vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blue Jackets vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.