CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs NSN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25dbe32e76b1fc1cd5aeb2fab0cfb982d7a29c8136ae743c26c880343785f08d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Haunted Houseof Haunted House, NSN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,066 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed NSN | 32c | 3,775$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.93 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…4b96backed NSN | 47c | 3,073$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked NSN | 46c | 1,692$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.02 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Haunted House | 61c | 1,667$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Haunted House | 53c | 1,159$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed NSN | 7c | 1,120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked NSN | 46c | 994.16$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.02 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NSN | 19c | 912.03$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Haunted House | 60c | 894$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37d…c735backed NSN | 28c | 873.16$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Haunted House | 54c | 841.27$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.67 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed NSN | 44c | 793.73$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.57 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa4…4a42backed NSN | 7c | 645$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…e913backed NSN | 8c | 633.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…515cbacked NSN | 9c | 619.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…738fbacked NSN | 7c | 449$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…4a68backed NSN | 7c | 368$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Haunted House | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd3…f0f7backed Haunted House | 58c | 329.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Haunted House | 65c | 328.49$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da7…17aabacked Haunted House | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…021ebacked NSN | 32c | 307.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…09febacked Haunted House | 53c | 302.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…99c8backed NSN | 10c | 292$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…38e9backed NSN | 8c | 266$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Haunted House | 77c | 263.13$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…2915backed NSN | 39c | 245.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed NSN | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Haunted House | 58c | 229.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…3dfcbacked NSN | 44c | 221$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed NSN | 14c | 216.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…a2b8backed NSN | 24c | 206$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb346…37f6backed Haunted House | 56c | 205$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…d4aebacked Haunted House | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…e097backed NSN | 44c | 197$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Haunted House | 57c | 193.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa512…175cbacked Haunted House | 53c | 169.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NSN | 24c | 168.51$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…556dbacked NSN | 7c | 166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…9ae3backed Haunted House | 53c | 162.26$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…ec96backed Haunted House | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked NSN | 7c | 149$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…1b1cbacked NSN | 7c | 144$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Haunted House | 63c | 142.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed NSN | 46c | 139.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…1cddbacked Haunted House | 56c | 137$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…fd9dbacked NSN | 8c | 134$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Haunted House | 52c | 133.7$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed NSN | 23c | 131.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…29aebacked Haunted House | 54c | 129.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed NSN | 43c | 116.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed NSN | 48c | 115.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…1fbbbacked Haunted House | 53c | 106.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Haunted House | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked NSN | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked NSN | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked NSN | 21c | 97.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Haunted House | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…c482backed Haunted House | 53c | 86.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Haunted House | 51c | 85.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…4135backed Haunted House | 56c | 83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Haunted House | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…288cbacked Haunted House | 60c | 57.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed NSN | 47c | 52.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Haunted House | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Haunted House | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…b8fabacked Haunted House | 61c | 42.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked NSN | 25c | 41.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Haunted House | 55c | 32.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Haunted House | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee05…d6ccbacked Haunted House | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NSN | 48c | 21.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Haunted House | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Haunted House | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs NSN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs NSN - Map 2 WinnerNSN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.