South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2025-09-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x260daed37b4491f3c95665805c9571c53d047682b20501100e15976285e182bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 53c | 3,201$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.18 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 47c | 2,201$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,088$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 995$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 52c | 966.82$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 51c | 817.5$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…8115backed Yes | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 21c | 292.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Yes | 53c | 287.26$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Yes | 53c | 100.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…91cabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…5840backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…15d4backed No | 54c | 20.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2025-09-26?this page
- Will CA Platense vs. CA San Martín de San Juan end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA San Martín de San Juan win on 2025-09-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.