Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Ducks vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2630b94792f01eca049ff8ac1685ef799b43adfaee9fedf54fb2b2ba8a3001b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Ducksof Beijing Ducks, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,543 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Tianjin Pioneers | 1c | 31,807$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 14,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Tianjin Pioneers | 1c | 2,900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 709.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 6c | 552.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 460.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 389.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 306$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…7df7backed Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 284.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 214.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Tianjin Pioneers | 7c | 213.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 199.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a5…555cbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 10c | 146.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe2…b543backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 123.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 112.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Tianjin Pioneers | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 15cpaid | +364.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Tianjin Pioneers | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 74.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…7774backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.