Tennis · resolved market
ITF Asuncion: Ana Filipa Santos vs Emily Zornada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2648cb9c7acd4f548a7b1f2528d591aedae17e3c1e9128ae0c7aad0b1d5280df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emily Zornadaof Ana Filipa Santos, Emily Zornada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 1c | 14,017$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Emily Zornada | 54c | 3,670$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.01 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 55c | 651.94$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.89 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 49c | 548.98$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.44 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Ana Filipa Santos | 16c | 533$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 30c | 452.94$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 33c | 408$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Ana Filipa Santos | 49c | 393.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.63 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Ana Filipa Santos | 16c | 333$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Ana Filipa Santos | 16c | 320$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ana Filipa Santos | 52c | 256.06$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Ana Filipa Santos | 12c | 219$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Ana Filipa Santos | 70c | 215.72$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Ana Filipa Santos | 10c | 187.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ana Filipa Santos | 39c | 169.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Emily Zornada | 77c | 166.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Ana Filipa Santos | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Ana Filipa Santos | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Ana Filipa Santos | 14c | 107.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Emily Zornada | 78c | 64.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Ana Filipa Santos | 22c | 51.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ana Filipa Santos | 21c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Emily Zornada | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Ana Filipa Santos | 43c | 24.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.