Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Zeel Desai vs Kamonwan Yodpetch
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265697e2c8920951929804a7029546237f5860c28bc22096042a9c25459fa36f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kamonwan Yodpetchof Zeel Desai, Kamonwan Yodpetch
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf74b…fd13backed Zeel Desai | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Zeel Desai | 32c | 778.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Zeel Desai | 10c | 612.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 67c | 262.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Zeel Desai | 52c | 191.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 70c | 170.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Zeel Desai | 42c | 158.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zeel Desai | 28c | 157.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 70c | 141.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 164 | 67.7%111 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zeel Desai | 15c | 93.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 72c | 83.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 69c | 59.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 63c | 57.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zeel Desai | 38c | 55.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Zeel Desai | 30c | 47.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 46c | 43.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 72c | 43.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 610 | 62.8%383 W · 227 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 67c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Kamonwan Yodpetch | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963c…c15bbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.