CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SAW vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266a73d9e448804d09d970bca61e8852926ee2c4e578ec3dc1bf7cc21e8c235d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof SAW, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SAW | 41c | 744.24$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 672$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Misa Esports | 63c | 444.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed SAW | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SAW | 31c | 230.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Misa Esports | 64c | 210$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed SAW | 41c | 182.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SAW | 21c | 179.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 59c | 173.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked SAW | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SAW | 33c | 136.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed SAW | 26c | 126.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SAW | 39c | 125.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed SAW | 43c | 123$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SAW | 19c | 121.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Misa Esports | 57c | 119.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SAW | 28c | 103.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed SAW | 37c | 100.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Misa Esports | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Misa Esports | 63c | 83.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Misa Esports | 60c | 61.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Misa Esports | 60c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Misa Esports | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 219 | 49.8%109 W · 110 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Misa Esports | 63c | 46.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 41.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Misa Esports | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Misa Esports | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…8ad8backed Misa Esports | 78c | 18.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.