Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Chicago State Cougars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27325a8ec01cce5bd8cc177511f2f1ec4b2d36e7d9faebe3e0ef93a83219ac4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Le Moyne Dolphinsof Le Moyne Dolphins, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Chicago State Cougars | 33c | 4,291$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.59 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 2,183$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 52c | 971.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.77 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Chicago State Cougars | 36c | 829.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago State Cougars | 36c | 798.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.94 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 67c | 509.27$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 491.69$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.52 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 431.36$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 393.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 64c | 368$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 69c | 336.56$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 67c | 235$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 227.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 63c | 149.25$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbf…5d35backed Chicago State Cougars | 39c | 126$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chicago State Cougars | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Le Moyne Dolphins | 70c | 42.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Le Moyne Dolphins | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Chicago State Cougarsthis page
- Spread: Le Moyne Dolphins (-4.5)Le Moyne Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.