Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs Spizzirri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2787fd3efd5ed89cd6525ab336faeb91d740f6d8bef12def6a12fee626d6c4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spizzirriof Duckworth, Spizzirri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Duckworth | 0c | 8,416$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duckworth | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked Spizzirri | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1faa…c1f6backed Duckworth | 32c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spizzirri | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…f7f9backed Spizzirri | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…58e2backed Spizzirri | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…6c89backed Spizzirri | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e04…3fb0backed Spizzirri | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…d484backed Spizzirri | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spizzirri | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…e21bbacked Spizzirri | 69c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…104bbacked Spizzirri | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Spizzirri | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…098ebacked Spizzirri | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa57…ffdbbacked Spizzirri | 69c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…08d0backed Spizzirri | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d90…5312backed Spizzirri | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…e68ebacked Spizzirri | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Spizzirri | 66c | 17.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33a…e4d5backed Spizzirri | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8610…eba9backed Spizzirri | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Spizzirri | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…58c1backed Spizzirri | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…6e74backed Spizzirri | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs Spizzirrithis page
- Dallas Open: James Duckworth vs Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri won
- Duckworth vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Duckworth vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.