Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: James Duckworth vs Eliot Spizzirri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9abddf09ac224f28cfe2ca20d2596b7eba07bd9b9dc684fb464f6e49d8cd2527
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spizzirriof Duckworth, Spizzirri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Duckworth | 12c | 6,753$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.05 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Duckworth | 1c | 3,300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Duckworth | 25c | 1,782$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.56 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…d25fbacked Spizzirri | 75c | 1,685$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.93 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Duckworth | 22c | 1,421$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Duckworth | 25c | 1,263$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.88 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Spizzirri | 76c | 1,150$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Duckworth | 29c | 1,000$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.7 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Spizzirri | 71c | 812$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.48 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Spizzirri | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Duckworth | 27c | 439$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Duckworth | 23c | 271$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Spizzirri | 75c | 268.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Duckworth | 25c | 242.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Spizzirri | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Duckworth | 20c | 156.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Duckworth | 26c | 142.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Spizzirri | 76c | 131.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Spizzirri | 77c | 128.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…e07abacked Spizzirri | 75c | 106.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Duckworth | 17c | 102.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Duckworth | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Spizzirri | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Duckworth | 25c | 99.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Duckworth | 27c | 90$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -10.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Spizzirri | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Duckworth | 26c | 75.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Duckworth | 25c | 74.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Spizzirri | 73c | 72.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Spizzirri | 75c | 66.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Spizzirri | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Duckworth | 25c | 58.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Spizzirri | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Duckworth | 22c | 49.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x192c…b6cdbacked Spizzirri | 75c | 47.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Spizzirri | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed Duckworth | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Spizzirri | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Spizzirri | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spizzirri | 73c | 37.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Spizzirri | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…e4e7backed Spizzirri | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Spizzirri | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Spizzirri | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Spizzirri | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: James Duckworth vs Eliot Spizzirrithis page
- Duckworth vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Duckworth vs. Spizzirri: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Duckworth vs SpizzirriSpizzirri won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.