Cricket · resolved market
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Punjab Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x278b6b4d6319950407cb0169429eae76eb2ea80ea3c61af95d06841751dfc9f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Royal Challengers Bangalore, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 15c | 25,897$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.11 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 54c | 2,511$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.85 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Punjab Kings | 46c | 2,135$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Punjab Kings | 47c | 1,169$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.73 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c26…9a9bbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 6c | 800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Punjab Kings | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9c…90d1backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 27c | 257.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329f…ad50backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 30c | 214$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…a586backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…4affbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 49c | 153.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 12c | 120.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd0…5e51backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Royal Challengers Bangalore | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Punjab Kings | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Punjab Kings | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f7…149ebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 30c | 37.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf44…b5fabacked Royal Challengers Bangalore | 34c | 34.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Punjab Kings | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…ff9fbacked Punjab Kings | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…dc5ebacked Punjab Kings | 57c | 20.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.