CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27cf5c613f3eeb8f1bb759f6fe416ebd1fa16c7569f5ea04f9471d5067d6ce84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 5,750$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.65 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sharks | 52c | 2,111$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks | 58c | 1,734$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks | 30c | 1,461$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.82 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Sharks | 53c | 1,302$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Sharks | 30c | 1,108$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.75 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Sharks | 40c | 957.23$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.23 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 686.97$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.88 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Sharks | 31c | 491.06$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 412.18$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.47 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Sharks | 50c | 286.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Sharks | 51c | 277.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Sharks | 30c | 268.78$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.15 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Sharks | 55c | 252$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Eternal Fire | 36c | 242.34$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 220$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Sharks | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 117.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Sharks | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 63.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 43.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 41.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Sharks | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 39.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 39.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Sharks | 60c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 23.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 21.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 18.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 17.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Sharks | 60c | 16.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 14.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Group ASharks won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.