CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e176f5a7de62ee5c829bd0f587f583f9cc753cd9ab7c97b6277e45a32fdfe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LPH Gamingof MASQ, LPH Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed MASQ | 45c | 7,329$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.73 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked LPH Gaming | 56c | 3,040$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LPH Gaming | 57c | 1,270$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed LPH Gaming | 59c | 1,044$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed MASQ | 52c | 895.88$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.86 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MASQ | 45c | 740$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked LPH Gaming | 35c | 607.67$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LPH Gaming | 65c | 580.92$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed LPH Gaming | 51c | 520.4$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.4 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed LPH Gaming | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed LPH Gaming | 59c | 384$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed LPH Gaming | 60c | 309.24$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LPH Gaming | 61c | 293.75$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c9backed MASQ | 56c | 261.36$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked LPH Gaming | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked MASQ | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed MASQ | 64c | 225.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.02 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed MASQ | 79c | 198.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LPH Gaming | 39c | 196.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.41 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked LPH Gaming | 46c | 173.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LPH Gaming | 36c | 169.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.72 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…72d2backed MASQ | 55c | 160.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed MASQ | 59c | 137.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked LPH Gaming | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed LPH Gaming | 65c | 115.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed LPH Gaming | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed LPH Gaming | 53c | 105.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked LPH Gaming | 57c | 103.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed MASQ | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed LPH Gaming | 36c | 97.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MASQ | 53c | 90.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked LPH Gaming | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed MASQ | 54c | 88.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed LPH Gaming | 53c | 82.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed LPH Gaming | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked LPH Gaming | 51c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed LPH Gaming | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed LPH Gaming | 52c | 43.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed LPH Gaming | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked LPH Gaming | 66c | 35.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MASQ | 69c | 35.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed MASQ | 40c | 29.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked LPH Gaming | 49c | 29.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed LPH Gaming | 45c | 27.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…76b5backed MASQ | 47c | 25.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 48.8%78 W · 82 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed MASQ | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…531fbacked MASQ | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed LPH Gaming | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MASQ | 62c | 18.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 WinnerMASQ won
- Counter-Strike: MASQ vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 WinnerLPH Gaming won
- Map Handicap: LPH (-1.5) vs MASQ (+1.5)MASQ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.