College Football · resolved market
Rice vs. South Florida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27e1f1c04d858f24d8835d04ac8a6328589807292cd8acdb593811310efd4ec2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Floridaof Rice, South Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rice | 4c | 8,830$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.55 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Rice | 3c | 3,204$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.18 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Rice | 3c | 3,000$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rice | 3c | 1,812$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Rice | 5c | 1,800$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Rice | 3c | 1,547$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.86 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Rice | 3c | 1,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Rice | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Rice | 3c | 1,179$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rice | 2c | 1,141$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rice | 4c | 999.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Rice | 6c | 990.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Rice | 4c | 892.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…a62dbacked Rice | 5c | 806.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247f…ff45backed Rice | 3c | 801.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rice | 4c | 699.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rice | 5c | 628.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…ccc2backed Rice | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Rice | 4c | 270$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…2b28backed Rice | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Rice | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rice vs. South Floridathis page
- Rice vs. South Florida: O/U 57.5Under won
- Rice vs. South Florida: O/U 59.5Under won
- Spread: South Florida (-27.5)South Florida won
- Spread: South Florida (-28.5)South Florida won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.