South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2808a3114f61e69f8fd8352e8da62f2bae76c81eace8f19b61deaaa43e2b0622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Querétaro FCof Querétaro FC, Club Necaxa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Querétaro FC | 29c | 1,613$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Club Necaxa | 70c | 1,306$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.37 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Querétaro FC | 17c | 446.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.18 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Querétaro FC | 19c | 316$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Club Necaxa | 75c | 156.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.47 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Club Necaxa | 75c | 129.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Necaxa | 52c | 69.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Club Necaxa | 70c | 68.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Querétaro FC | 32c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Querétaro FC | 30c | 62.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Club Necaxa | 37c | 54.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Necaxa | 76c | 45.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Querétaro FC | 27c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Club Necaxa | 75c | 37.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Club Necaxa | 73c | 25.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Club Necaxa | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Club Necaxa | 73c | 17.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)this page
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 1.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5Over won
- Querétaro FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-2.5)Club Necaxa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.