Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x281bef7bfe9e143e37e2212ab0cdf5939b6a3f10f53b4a69bd7d10719f455bc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Griekspoor, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Halys | 5c | 1,017$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…0292backed Halys | 11c | 403.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…8a86backed Halys | 54c | 222.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Halys | 23c | 187.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Griekspoor | 67c | 120.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Griekspoor | 67c | 97.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Griekspoor | 61c | 75.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.78 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Griekspoor | 57c | 73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Halys | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Griekspoor | 36c | 55.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Halys | 43c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Griekspoor | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Griekspoor | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…6e74backed Halys | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Halys | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Griekspoor | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Griekspoor | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…b444backed Halys | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…baafbacked Griekspoor | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Halys | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Griekspoor | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Halys | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Halys | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Griekspoor | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…5268backed Griekspoor | 63c | 20.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…4275backed Griekspoor | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef4…409ebacked Griekspoor | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353a…06c5backed Griekspoor | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +70%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Griekspoor | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a4…7941backed Griekspoor | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b92…3036backed Griekspoor | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs Halysthis page
- Griekspoor vs. Halys: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Griekspoor vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Griekspoor vs. Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Rotterdam Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Quentin HalysGriekspoor won
- Set Handicap: Griekspoor (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)Griekspoor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.