Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 160.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28262ef0d3c82955e83d5b91de0f4d0a430395d0aa506b04be541dd2ebe310dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 93,258$49,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,426.99 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 47c | 55,000$25,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,194.13 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 46c | 40,530$18,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,911.83 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 47c | 35,476$16,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,802.6 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,200 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 10,623$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 47c | 8,254$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.42 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Under | 54c | 7,789$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.05 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 5,308$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813.39 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 46c | 2,500$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 7c | 1,260$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 47c | 944.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.84 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 47c | 825.22$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 55c | 454$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 46c | 274.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Under | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 44c | 206$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Under | 58c | 199$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 47c | 188.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…b601backed Under | 55c | 94.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 55c | 44.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 47c | 43.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1786…6974backed Under | 55c | 39.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…515fbacked Under | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 55c | 32.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 54c | 29.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…c777backed Under | 55c | 23.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Under | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 160.5this page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy JaguarsMilwaukee Panthers won
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 158.5Over won
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 159.5Over won
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. IU Indy Jaguars: O/U 161.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.