CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2829b90e3c844c0a51170498d6d17ef7dd6b9ca4702e6365b5ced27ca270baf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- INOX Divisionof INOX Division, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e5…f069backed INOX Division | 67c | 2,680$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.1 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked INOX Division | 67c | 2,054$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.32 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 740$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.07 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 34c | 712.96$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 526$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed INOX Division | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 390$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked INOX Division | 50c | 333.14$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 329$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.9 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 271.6$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…5ea0backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 258.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked INOX Division | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 203.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed HyperSpirit | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 168.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed INOX Division | 32c | 164.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked HyperSpirit | 34c | 158.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed HyperSpirit | 35c | 140.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 135.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked INOX Division | 32c | 131.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 122.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed HyperSpirit | 34c | 119.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 84.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed INOX Division | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 44.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed INOX Division | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed INOX Division | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked INOX Division | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group AINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division - Map 1 WinnerINOX Division won
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division - Map 2 WinnerINOX Division won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.