TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
INOX Divisionof HyperSpirit, INOX Division
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,032

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked INOX Division73c5,825$4,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.9534559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8e…ce7dbacked INOX Division52c5,184$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.064173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit44c5,026$2,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,197.887,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit23c2,048$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.65,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed HyperSpirit19c1,500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9949935.1%175 W · 324 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit48c1,483$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.645,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed HyperSpirit25c1,442$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.432,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d5a…9ed6backed INOX Division62c1,221$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.295362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed INOX Division55c554.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7524551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit18c543.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.364,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked HyperSpirit19c543.05$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed INOX Division58c471.61$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.914,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit40c427.58$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.072,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed HyperSpirit20c279$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.81,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed HyperSpirit41c230.36$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.51,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked HyperSpirit61c230.05$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0417449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit27c228.16$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.733,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit23c227.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed HyperSpirit45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.949143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked HyperSpirit24c178.56$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1260032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29b1…ca10backed HyperSpirit51c166.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854856.3%27 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed HyperSpirit54c160.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9978043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed HyperSpirit20c157$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.419840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked INOX Division80c121$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.22,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked HyperSpirit37c120.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7712448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked HyperSpirit26c112.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed INOX Division60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed INOX Division64c68.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.995545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HyperSpirit19c59.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.272,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x008d…b839backed HyperSpirit38c51.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.652540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed HyperSpirit58c45.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6621755.8%121 W · 96 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked HyperSpirit44c43.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1937140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed INOX Division63c42.86$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8619142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed HyperSpirit60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed HyperSpirit39c40.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e1b…4ea6backed INOX Division41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a6c…f348backed HyperSpirit32c36.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.69520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x95f1…fc56backed HyperSpirit39c35.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.781127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1096…705dbacked HyperSpirit61c22.87$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed INOX Division76c17.04$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0435147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.