TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Contra vs Tezcat Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Contraof Contra, Tezcat Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37f8…b5e5backed Tezcat Gaming5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Tezcat Gaming41c192.84$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3620248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Contra66c158.87$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.494361.2%577 W · 366 L+58.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8abe…61debacked Tezcat Gaming40c145.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Contra46c104.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5726436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Tezcat Gaming50c70.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2631153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Contra59c68.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.091,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Contra50c67.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7510346.6%48 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051e…8636backed Tezcat Gaming40c47.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Contra59c43.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.91,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Contra49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.418651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Tezcat Gaming53c32.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.266841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Tezcat Gaming40c28.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.