TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Contra vs Tezcat Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Tezcat Gamingof Contra, Tezcat Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,224
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,278

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,224 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc056…e188backed Contra2c3,981$99 inLost-$99.144564.4%29 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Contra16c2,000$320 inLost-$3201546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Tezcat Gaming50c122.66$61 inWon+$61.7631153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Contra16c94.96$15 inLost-$15.1910333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a35…6fe0backed Contra49c50$25 inLost-$24.515642.3%66 W · 90 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Contra49c40$20 inLost-$19.618651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051e…8636backed Tezcat Gaming54c36.01$19 inWon+$16.57757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+74.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Tezcat Gaming71c34.67$25 inWon+$10.0520248%97 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Contra53c26.22$14 inLost-$13.96841.2%28 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.