Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iona Gaels (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28a3f94c211fff23ba9b7e22708533dec920f53fe0cf191344aaa811b3b4720b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iona Gaelsof Iona Gaels, Canisius Golden Griffins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Iona Gaels | 50c | 39,200$19,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,743.76 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 32,445$16,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,385.15 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Iona Gaels | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 883.54$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.49 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 830$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.62 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 53c | 690$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 614.39$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Iona Gaels | 48c | 574$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 54c | 419.99$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 390$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 286$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Iona Gaels | 55c | 250.84$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 50c | 237.26$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Iona Gaels | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iona Gaels | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 199$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 195$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 106.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Iona Gaels | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Iona Gaels | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Canisius Golden Griffins | 51c | 46.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Iona Gaels | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Iona Gaels | 48c | 42.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iona Gaels | 47c | 41.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Canisius Golden Griffins | 52c | 25.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Iona Gaels | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Iona Gaels | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Iona Gaels | 60c | 16.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-5.5)this page
- Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden GriffinsIona Gaels won
- Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 136.5Under won
- Iona Gaels vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-4.5)Iona Gaels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.