Asian League · resolved market
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28cb6ffcf7e6b6364ceb4ac195eecd3ac31805a89af5c6d51a648e70d2d24c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 4,514$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.61 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 4,151$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 1,804$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.77 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 1,427$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 1,178$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.5 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,051$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 31c | 416.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 283.6$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +87%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 168$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 142.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 73c | 134.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…2f08backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 27c | 61.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 53.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 42.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Yes | 28c | 36.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 28.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 70c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 74c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed No | 72c | 17.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.