Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oldenzaal (Netherlands), clay: Iiro Vasa vs Eero Vasa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28e5be6dca46fe17995c3b113b7f07c5f01935bb7a3a1d13d71ad88e1d999c14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eero Vasaof Iiro Vasa, Eero Vasa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iiro Vasa | 33c | 5,808$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.01 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eero Vasa | 65c | 3,555$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.36 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eero Vasa | 65c | 1,241$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.11 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eero Vasa | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Iiro Vasa | 39c | 141.37$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Iiro Vasa | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Iiro Vasa | 21c | 131.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Iiro Vasa | 36c | 126.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Iiro Vasa | 36c | 126.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Eero Vasa | 68c | 123.41$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Eero Vasa | 64c | 111.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Iiro Vasa | 44c | 84.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eero Vasa | 73c | 78.56$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Eero Vasa | 68c | 62.86$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Eero Vasa | 64c | 52.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Eero Vasa | 56c | 45.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Eero Vasa | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Eero Vasa | 61c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 466 | 58.6%273 W · 193 L | +24.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Eero Vasa | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 395 | 60.3%238 W · 157 L | +28.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Eero Vasa | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 406 | 59.9%243 W · 163 L | +30.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…dd4abacked Eero Vasa | 66c | 38.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Eero Vasa | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Eero Vasa | 61c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 421 | 59.1%249 W · 172 L | +25.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Eero Vasa | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 329 | 63.8%210 W · 119 L | +36.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Eero Vasa | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Eero Vasa | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +19.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Iiro Vasa | 53c | 24.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Eero Vasa | 64c | 23.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 569 | 26%148 W · 421 L | -23.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Eero Vasa | 68c | 22.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 136 | 59.6%81 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Eero Vasa | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 178 | 60.7%108 W · 70 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…d5babacked Eero Vasa | 68c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.