Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Nepliy (-1.5) vs Tang (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f876e4f3fdc2e0d67356eba0786f46510f4ed4955164f7979fb4717ae21cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tangof Nepliy, Tang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Nepliy | 42c | 4,057$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.93 | 130 | 25.4%33 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tang | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Tang | 58c | 657.48$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.14 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Tang | 58c | 530.98$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 248 | 56.9%141 W · 107 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Tang | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Tang | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Tang | 58c | 141.85$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tang | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Tang | 58c | 87.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.93 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tang | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tang | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tang | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tang | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Tang | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tang | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tang | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Tang | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Tang | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf19a…2d2dbacked Tang | 58c | 27.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Tang | 58c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Tang | 58c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Nepliy (-1.5) vs Tang (+1.5)this page
- Athens Open, Qualification: Qianhui Tang vs Elina NepliyElina Nepliy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.