Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vacaria: Giorgia Pedone vs Daria Egorova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293b2735dfdc0eb75f624b245f9d753450d0f996e2e31f0298e020c67c61a495
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Egorovaof Giorgia Pedone, Daria Egorova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Egorova | 64c | 1,657$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 639.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.79 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 69c | 634.1$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Daria Egorova | 53c | 440.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.88 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Giorgia Pedone | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Giorgia Pedone | 40c | 281.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Giorgia Pedone | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Giorgia Pedone | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Giorgia Pedone | 47c | 102.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Giorgia Pedone | 18c | 101.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Daria Egorova | 59c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Giorgia Pedone | 40c | 82.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Giorgia Pedone | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Daria Egorova | 77c | 77.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Daria Egorova | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Giorgia Pedone | 34c | 45.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Giorgia Pedone | 41c | 41.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Daria Egorova | 73c | 39.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Daria Egorova | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Giorgia Pedone | 38c | 32.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Daria Egorova | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Daria Egorova | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Daria Egorova | 65c | 21.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Daria Egorova | 65c | 18.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Daria Egorova | 77c | 17.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e5…2300backed Daria Egorova | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 55 | 89.1%49 W · 6 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.