Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Alessandra Mazzola vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x298cef464cedeb776397feac727f1e7eb818333ef4e3656c7085f7f89a0c028d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Alessandra Mazzola, Lucia Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alessandra Mazzola | 7c | 16,650$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 80c | 9,252$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.27 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alessandra Mazzola | 1c | 5,307$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 9c | 3,659$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.53 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alessandra Mazzola | 22c | 3,382$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alessandra Mazzola | 32c | 2,201$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 1,733$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 76c | 873.59$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Alessandra Mazzola | 12c | 619.76$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alessandra Mazzola | 25c | 560$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Alessandra Mazzola | 27c | 388.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 379.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Alessandra Mazzola | 13c | 304.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alessandra Mazzola | 9c | 276.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alessandra Mazzola | 22c | 98.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alessandra Mazzola | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Alessandra Mazzola | 36c | 67.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 21c | 65.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alessandra Mazzola | 23c | 64.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Lucia Bronzetti | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Lucia Bronzetti | 73c | 57.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Alessandra Mazzola | 24c | 50.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 80c | 50.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Lucia Bronzetti | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 29.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 29.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 25.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Lucia Bronzetti | 76c | 16.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Lucia Bronzetti | 72c | 14.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.