La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299198803ad4c1c718ddb14863c24f25c610f9a43100013ff2b9c5819f2cedc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 34c | 4,671$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.97 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 66c | 1,713$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.8 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 3c | 1,101$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 65c | 846.99$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 576.72$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 571.13$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.94 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 66c | 511$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.81 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 464.38$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.42 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 35c | 457.82$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 68 | 79.4%54 W · 14 L | +14.7wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +44%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 67c | 392.68$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 371.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 38c | 356.3$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 34c | 231.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.53 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 16c | 225.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 221.49$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.19 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 197.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.33 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 30c | 197.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed No | 38c | 195.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 66c | 170.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 35c | 165.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.56 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 110.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 66c | 96.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 35c | 91.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 66c | 88.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 35c | 80.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 75.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 73.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 66c | 73.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 35c | 68.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 66c | 61.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 66c | 58.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 51c | 51.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 132 | 30.3%40 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 71c | 50.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 66c | 48.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 64c | 43.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 66c | 39.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 76c | 36.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 62c | 34.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 34c | 34.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 33c | 33.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 61c | 31.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed No | 66c | 29.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 59c | 27.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…1001backed Yes | 61c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Yes | 61c | 22.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 80c | 21.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…8153backed Yes | 68c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed No | 66c | 19.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 64c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 62c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 66c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Yes | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.